Researchers have developed an algorithm that can predict the probability of future insurgent attacks using the data from Wikileaks.

What Specially You're Expecting From Apple In This WWDC?

View Results

Loading ... Loading ...
1 Star2 Stars3 Stars4 Stars5 Stars (Rate This)
Loading ... Loading ...

Wikileaks has long been eyed as something that is dangerous and undesirable by the authorities, especially in US. However, the data divulged by Wikileaks is now being put to a use that may change this opinion in Washington. Researchers are using the leaked data on Wikileakes to predict the rise in insurgency in different Afghan regions.


Modelling of the Afghan War

This has now been reported in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. In the study undertaken by the researchers, 77,000 logs from the Afghan War Diary were analyzed. These logs were released by Wikileaks on July 25, 2010. The logs contain information about the insurgencies that occurred during 2004 and 2009.

With the help of this huge sample size, researchers have been able to come up with an algorithm that can predict future insurgencies. The algorithm takes into account the ‘volatility’ of a region to accurately predict future insurgencies. If the volatility of a region is high, it becomes hard to accurately predict future incidents. However, if the volatility is low, the algorithm is able to predict future events quite accurately.

For instance, the Baghlan province in Afghanistan is not too volatile. In 2009, 100 insurgent incidents were reported in the province. Based on the algorithm, the researchers predicted that in 2010, this number would rise to 228. The actual number of insurgent events that occurred in 2010 were 222. That is very close to the predicted number, showing how accurate the algorithm is.

But, don’t hold your breath thinking the hawks in Washington will open up towards the whole concept of such data leaks and begin to tolerate them, because of its new found usefulness.

Source: PNAS

Courtesy: The Verge

Buy Cheapest Related Product From Amazon.com


Aegis Parka – A Pollution Resistant Jacket For You

Samsung MV900F – New Camera With Wi-Fi, Gesture Control
You can also press the left/right arrow key on your keyboard to go to previous/next post
  On July 19, 2012(2 years, 0 months ago.)

Recent Products

Compare  
Buy Now | Compare  

What Do You Think?

Loading Disqus Comments ...
Loading Facebook Comments ...

Recent Search

Recent Tutorials

Want to repair your memory card? It's very easy to fix corrupted or damaged memory card. In fact you can fix it by yourself.
Are you the one who is frustrated because of the speed of your Android device? No worries, the article will help you increase the speed of that device.
Lately, Google has updated its Google Docs. Now users can crop, rotate, and add borders to images in a document without leaving Google Docs.
Adobe CS products are not free, but the good news is you can now download Photoshop CS2 & all other CS2 product completely free and it's absolutely legal.
At the beginning level, many people don't know how to use Gmail properly. For them, a here's a helpful guideline.
Skype now allows you to call directly from your Outlook account. Find the step-by-step installation process from this tutorial.
This tutorial helps you quickly resolve four of the most common problems that occur with Windows XP.
After releasing Look Back, many people didn't like it. So Facebook planned to add an Edit tool to the feature and now you can edit your Facebook Look Back video.
Do you want to record Skype calls but don't know how to do that? Then this guide is absolutely for you. Get inside the article for details.
Do you know that many companies can track you on Facebook? Do you want to know who they are? Do you want to block them?
Close You Have To Login
User:
Pass:
Login With »Login With TwitterLogin With Facebook